Is it a Climb Down! Russia Withdraws Some Troops From Ukraine Border

Published February 15th, 2022 - 09:04 GMT
Russian troops
A Russian Mil Mi-24 Hind helicopter gunship flies above a Turkish military vehicle, part of a joint convoy with Russian troops, patrolling in oil fields near the town of al-Qahtaniyah, in Syria's northeastern Hasakeh province close to the Turkish border, on February 4, 2021. / AFP / Delil SOULEIMAN

Russia says some troops are being withdrawn from the Ukraine border and sent back to their home bases in what could be the first sign of a climbdown by Putin - or another of the strongman's deceptions ahead of an attack.

Moscow's defence ministry said today that units of the Southern and Western military command - which covers occupied Crimea and the Ukraine border region - are being loaded on to rail and road transports and moved away having 'completed their tasks'.

But that message stands at stark odds with briefings out of Washington overnight that Russian troops are actually being moved closer to the border - away from assembly areas and into 'attack positions' - with an order to invade likely 'by the end of the week'.

It marks just the latest clash in a briefing war that has been playing out for weeks, with Moscow insisting it has no plans to invade and the US saying an attack could come at any time. Ukraine, caught between the two Cold War foes, has noted the Russian troop build-up but said it sees no sign of imminent war.

That was the message repeated by President Volodymyr Zelensky on Monday night as he addressed the nation and appealed for calm - urging his country's 44 million people to wave flags from their houses on Tuesday in what he termed a national day of unity, and at 10am all sing the national anthem in a show of solidarity and resilience.

Zelensky's team also tried to downplay the president's previous suggestions that Putin had chosen Wednesday to invade, with adviser Mykhailo Podoliak saying that Zelensky was not being literal when he said that the attack would be on Wednesday.

The 44-year-old former comedian was being ironic, Podoliak said, and was referring to media reports that said Wednesday had been chosen by Moscow.

Zelensky said he was 'told' that Wednesday would be the day of the attack as he announced the national day of unity.

He also pledged to increase funding of military service personnel, accelerate the development of defenses and create an information system to apprise citizens of the security situation.

Yet while Zelensky tried to reassure his nervy country, world leaders were frantically engaged in last-minute diplomacy, in a bid to stave off conflict.

Boris Johnson, Britain's prime minister, said Europe is 'on the edge of a precipice' — but added, 'there is still time for President Putin to step back.'

France's foreign minister, Jean-Yves Le Drian, told French television that 'all elements' were in place for a strong Russian offensive, but 'nothing shows today' that Putin has decided to launch one.

Germany's chancellor, Olaf Scholz, was in Kiev on Monday - and flies to Moscow to meet Putin on Tuesday - and said that the Russian leader should not underestimate the resolve of Ukraine's allies.

'If Russia violates the territorial integrity of Ukraine again, we know what to do,' Scholz said.

'In the event of military escalation, we are ready for very far-reaching and effective sanctions in coordination with our allies.'

He said there are 'no sensible reasons' for the buildup of more than 130,000 Russian troops on Ukraine's borders to the north, south and east, and he urged more dialogue.

In Moscow, Putin and his foreign minister, Sergey Lavrov, held a meeting for the cameras at which Lavrov appealed for more time for diplomacy.

The talks 'can't go on indefinitely, but I would suggest to continue and expand them at this stage,' Lavrov said.

He noted that Washington has offered to conduct dialogue on limits for missile deployments in Europe, restrictions on military drills and other confidence-building measures.

Lavrov said possibilities for talks 'are far from being exhausted.'

'I would propose continuing and intensifying them,' he said.

 

Putin responded: 'Good.'

Lavrov then, front of the cameras, told Putin he had directed his diplomats to demand 'security guarantees' from the West, such as a legally binding pledge that Ukraine will never join the NATO alliance.

'Our initiative shook up our Western colleagues and became the reason they have no longer been able to ignore many of our previous appeals,' Lavrov told the Russian leader.

Lavrov also said that Russia had prepared a 10-page response in its written back-and-forth with NATO and the United States over the Kremlin's security demands.

The United States reacted coolly to Lavrov and Putin's show.

'The path for diplomacy remains available if Russia chooses to engage constructively,' said Karine Jean-Pierre, the White House principal deputy press secretary.

'However, we are clear-eyed about the prospects of that, given the steps Russia is taking on the ground in plain sight.'

U.S. officials said the Russian military continued apparent attack preparations along Ukraine's borders.

A U.S. defense official said small numbers of Russian ground units have been moving out of larger assembly areas for several days, taking up positions closer to the Ukrainian border at what would be departure points if Putin launched an invasion.

Satellite images taken over the last 48 hours show increased Russian military activity in Belarus, Crimea and western Russia, including the arrival of helicopters, ground-attack aircraft and fighter-bomber jets at forward locations.

The photos also show ground forces leaving their garrisons and combat units moving into convoy formation, according to Maxar Technologies, a commercial satellite imagery company that has been monitoring the Russian buildup.

U.S. troops, meanwhile, flew from Fort Bragg in North Carolina to the region. 

Earlier this month, President Joe Biden formally approved the deployment of 3,000 US troops to Poland, Germany and Romania, to reassure U.S. allies.

Pentagon press secretary John Kirby said the deployments included roughly 2,000 troops that would deploy from the United States to Poland and Germany.

In addition, approximately 1,000 troops currently based in Germany were moving to Romania.

Kirby said the moves were not permanent and emphasized: 'These forces are not going to fight in Ukraine.'

The Biden administration said Saturday that it was pulling 160 Florida National Guard members from Ukraine, where they have been advising the Ukrainian military since November, 'out of an abundance of caution.'

Kirby said Monday that 'we have said for a while now that military action now could happen any day.'

'It is entirely possible that he could move with little to no warning,' Kirby said of Russian President Vladimir Putin.

'It certainly could happen before the end of the Olympics - maybe even this week,' he said.

Biden has repeatedly stressed that U.S. troops will not be engaged in combat in Ukraine.

In an hour-long call with the Russian president on Saturday, Biden said the United States and its allies would 'respond decisively' to a Russian invasion of Ukraine. On Sunday, Biden spoke to Zelensky and stressed the United States' commitment to Ukraine.

Biden told Zelensky that the U.S. would respond aggressively to any attack, the White House said, through sanctions and other measures to level a high cost for Russia.

Zelensky asked Biden to visit Ukraine, but U.S. officials said a trip is 'highly unlikely.'

Ukrainian security and defense council chief Oleksiy Danilov downplayed the threat of invasion but warned of the risk of 'internal destabilization' by unspecified forces.

'Today we do not see that a large-scale offensive by the Russian Federation can take place either on (Feb.) 16th or the 17th,' he told reporters after meeting lawmakers.

'We are aware of the risks that exist in the territory of our country. But the situation is absolutely under control.'

This article has been adapted from its original source.

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