Swiss Franc Technical Outlook

Published June 9th, 2008 - 06:59 GMT
Al Bawaba
Al Bawaba

The USDCHF is falling as expected.



“There is little doubt that the advance from .9647 is corrective because a triangle separates the two legs.  The only question is whether or not the rally from .9647 is a complete 3 wave rally or just the first wave of a larger more complex correction.  Regardless, a bearish bias is warranted against 1.0527.”  The story is the same as with the EURUSD and GBPUSD.  It is a good idea to lighten up on position size at this juncture since it is possible that a larger correction is underway and the drop below 1.0214 satisfies minimum expectations for the second leg of the correction. 

Note: the CHF may be the outperformer (along with the Yen) as risk aversion is expected to return (as suggested by stock market wave structure)

STRATEGY: Bearish, against 1.0408, target 1 is now and target 2 is below .9647.