New Zealand Dollar Cautiously Bullish

Published December 14th, 2007 - 06:49 GMT
Al Bawaba
Al Bawaba

Commentary:  “We have favored the idea that a larger correction is unfolding to more fully correct the 5 wave advance from .6639-.7891 but the decline has yet to occur and Kiwi is testing the wave 5 high.  While an expaned flat is certainly possible, we urge caution to bears that are attempting to catch the C wave decline into the .7200’s and lower.  The rally from .7435, although choppy, could be a series of 1s and 2s.  In this case, the NZDUSD rally could accelerate in a 3rd of a 3rd wave higher.  Additionally, the pair is making a bid to close above the resistance line drawn off of the July and November highs.  A daily close above there adds fuel to the bullish fire.”  The pair closed above the line two days ago, which warranted adopting a bullish bias.  We maintain a cautious bullish bias as long as price is above .7575.      
 
Strategy:  Flat