Euro Technical Outlook

Published June 27th, 2008 - 06:35 GMT
Al Bawaba
Al Bawaba

The longer term bullish bias remains favored as long as price is above 1.5303.



The EURUSD is expected to exceed 1.6018 and continue on to all-time highs in the next few weeks.  Beware though that a triangle may be unfolding right now.  The advance from 1.5303 would be wave D and wave E would begin from below 1.5843 (now).  E waves of triangles are usually sharp and deep; so it is probable that the decline would continue until 1.53/1.54.  The other possibility is that larger wave IV ended at 1.5283.  Even then, a corrective decline should bring the pair back to 1.5630/1.5685 before the bull resumes.

STRATEGY: Bullish, against 1.5468, target above 1.5843 (but beware of the triangle potential)