Euro Technical Outlook

Published August 26th, 2008 - 06:06 GMT
Al Bawaba
Al Bawaba

1.4671 was taken out and the EURUSD weakness has resumed.  This is the long term count that we have favored for sometime.  It calls for a bottom and reversal following completion of the drop from 1.6039, which is either the final leg of wave IV or the first leg of a new bear market. 



Either way, a sizeable bounce is expected to begin soon.  Lower prices are expected as long as price is below 1.4695, in order to complete 5 waves down from 1.4908.  There is a short term count that treats the drop to a new low as a b wave though.  This would suggest a sharp rally in wave c that ends above 1.49 before a new low is registered.  We’ll cover this count in the GBPUSD analysis.