Euro Positioning And Open Interest May Signal An Impending Flip

Published March 27th, 2008 - 08:30 GMT
Al Bawaba
Al Bawaba

EUR/USD Ratio: -1.16
Signal: Bullish



Currency Last Week Present* % Long % Change in Positions Outstanding Signal
EURUSD -1.47 -1.16 46% -10.06% Bullish

 


EURUSD – The sentiment extreme among EURUSD retail traders continued to settle through this past week. With positioning coming closer and closer to a flip and open interest tumbling, the euro’s long rally may be coming on its first serious correction in months. The EURUSD’s SSI reading stands at -1.16 compared to -1.47 from last week and -1.65 yesterday during the pair’s sharp 250-point advance. The details further reveal speculators are running out of patience with trying to consistently call a top. Long positions have grown 11.7% from yesterday and 2.2% from last Thursday. Shorts, on the other hand, have dropped 21.6% since Wednesday and 18.4% from last week. Also interesting is the steady drop in net positioning. Open interest is 9.1% lower than yesterday and nearly 15% weaker than last week. Altogether, the SSI is still pointing to further euro gains, but a flip in sentiment and spot may be close at hand.