Euro Finally Takes Out 1.3740 Trend Highs (Daily Classical)

Published May 20th, 2009 - 10:02 GMT
Al Bawaba
Al Bawaba

• Euro extends gains after easily taking out 1.3740 trend highs
• Dollar/Yen testing 100-Day SMA and bottom of Ichimoku
• Cable rips through 200-Day SMA and breaks above 70 on the daily RSI
• Dollar/Swiss eyes next drop to 1.0865






EUR/USD



EUR/USD – Has finally taken out the key 1.3740 trend highs to trade just shy of 1.3800 thus far. From here, while there is scope for additional upside, we see the more medium-term risks for the formation of a top in the 1.4000 area ahead of a major USD bull run. Next key resistance comes in by 1.3850 which represents the 61.8% fib retrace off of the 1.4720-1.2455 move. We will look to sell a failure ahead of this level. Strategy: SIDELINED; AWAIT CLEARER SIGNAL

Level

Resistance

Details

1.3965

R3

1/5 high

1.3840

R2

1/2 high

1.3795

 R1 

5/20 high

Level

Support

Details

1.3670

S1

5/19 high

1.3585

S2

5/20 low

1.3530

S3

5/19 low



USD/JPY



USD/JPY – One again testing the bottom of the Ichimoku cloud and 100-Day SMA. The market has drifted slightly below both indicators and threatens to force a bearish shift in the structure. However, we would recommend standing aside for now with the potential from here also for an upside reversal should the 100-Day and Ichimoku support on a close basis. Strategy: SIDELINED; AWAIT CLEARER SIGNAL.

Level

Resistance

Details

96.70

R3

5/19 high

96.25

R2

5/20 high

95.90

 R1 

5/19 low

Level

Support

Details

94.55

S1