Euro Crosses Mixed

Published August 14th, 2006 - 05:06 GMT
Al Bawaba
Al Bawaba

1. EURJPY
2. EURCHF
3. EURGBP

EURJPY EURJPY has rallied to 148.58 on Thursday before plummeting to just above the 147.00 figure.  In a special report that we released on July 12th, we remarked that 148.30/60 could be strong resistance and mark the end of a long term uptrend.  For more on that report, see http://www.dailyfx.com/story/special_report/special_reports/Euro_Bears___It_May_be_Time_1152747631957.html .  The pair has rallied following Thursdays decline in what is so far a 3 wave corrective pattern.  The rally has stalled just below the 148.58 high and formed a double top in the process.  Continued weakness from 148.53 (todays high) targets todays low at 147.86.  A push above 148.58 negates the bearish bias.   


EURCHF EURCHF has rallied to former resistance from the 4/26 and 4/27 highs at 1.5818/21.  RSI is also decreasing from near overbought levels and CCI is decreasing from above 100.  Both of these developments signal a possible turn.  A push above todays high at 1.5817 exposes the 4/4 high at 1.5853.  Support is at the 7/27 and 8/4 highs at 1.5788.  A break below there instills confidence in the downside idea.          


 

EURGBP The EURGBP decline stalled at support from the 12/12/2005 low at .6718 and has since rallied to .6750.  The pair is testing the low side of a nearly 3 year symmetrical triangle.  Triangle support along with the 12/12/05 low limits downside risk.  The hourly also looks slightly bullish as the last two days lows have a double bottom at .6718/20.  A continuation of strength probes the 7/24 low at .6807.