British Pound Technical Outlook

Published March 12th, 2008 - 04:54 GMT
Al Bawaba
Al Bawaba



We have concentrated recently on the fact that “the rally from 1.9361 is wave C within the A-B-C advance from 1.9337.  Wave C should divide into 5 waves and so far there are only 3 waves up.  As such, we expect additional gains.  The next likely resistance point is the 61.8% at 2.0463.”  If the count above is correct, then wave 1 of C is 585 pips (truncated), and wave 3 is 501 pips.  Wave 3 can not be the shortest wave, therefore wave 5 must be no longer than 501 pips.  A 500 pip rally from the wave 4 low (1.9995) places the end of wave 5 at 2.0495; very close to the 61.8% of 2.1160-1.9337 at 2.0463.  Look to get bullish near 2.0090 if given the chance, against 1.9995, for the break above 2.0220.   

 

STRATEGY: Look to get bullish near 2.0090, against 1.9995, target 2.04